I think it’s useful to think about the causation here.
Is it:
Intervention → Obvious bad effect → Good effect
For example: Terrible economic policies → Economy crashes → AI capability progress slows
Or is it:
Obvious bad effect ← Intervention → Good effect
For example: Patient survivably poisoned ← Chemotherapy → Cancer gets poisoned to death
Oh thanks, that’s a good point, and maybe explains why I don’t really find the examples given so far to be compelling. I’d like examples of the first type, i.e. where the bad effect causes the good effect.
I think it’s useful to think about the causation here.
Is it:
Intervention → Obvious bad effect → Good effect
For example: Terrible economic policies → Economy crashes → AI capability progress slows
Or is it:
Obvious bad effect ← Intervention → Good effect
For example: Patient survivably poisoned ← Chemotherapy → Cancer gets poisoned to death
Oh thanks, that’s a good point, and maybe explains why I don’t really find the examples given so far to be compelling. I’d like examples of the first type, i.e. where the bad effect causes the good effect.