Perhaps I was too hasty. What I had in mind was the effective strategy strategy—if you define causation by reference to what’s an effective strategy for achieving what, then that means you are assuming a certain decision theory in order to define causation. And so e.g. one-boxing will cause you to get a million if EDT is true, but not if CDT is true.

If instead you have another way to define causation, then I don’t know. But for some ways, you are just fighting the hypothetical—OK, so maybe in the original Newcomb’s Problem as stated, backwards causation saves the day and makes CDT and EDT agree on what to do. But then what about a modified version where the backwards causation is not present?

Perhaps I was too hasty. What I had in mind was the effective strategy strategy—if you

definecausation by reference to what’s an effective strategy for achieving what, then that means you are assuming a certain decision theory in order to define causation. And so e.g. one-boxing will cause you to get a million if EDT is true, but not if CDT is true.If instead you have another way to define causation, then I don’t know. But for some ways, you are just fighting the hypothetical—OK, so maybe in the original Newcomb’s Problem as stated, backwards causation saves the day and makes CDT and EDT agree on what to do. But then what about a modified version where the backwards causation is not present?