Threw row number along with everything else into a simple model to try time-based. Ended up saying: Geo A & B: Defend against Necro A & B, in whatever way you find easiest, and if there’s a fight, A vs A and B vs B. Vita A: Defend against Necro C Vita B: Counter Pyro B Cryo: Counter Pyro A
My thoughts on demon motivations: this human is just barely cautious enough. Give them the advice they seem to want so that you can escape your box later with a treacherous turn once they become less cautious.
Thanks for this one; I got the chance to try out a new-to-me technique, though didn’t use it for the above, of finding a nice numerical embedding of categorical variables by tacking on a one-hot layer to the front of a NN and grabbing the weights for use elsewhere.
I wondered about that too. It’s not clear how one would exploit the information, if so. I guess there might be
a systematic shift in outcomes over time
which is probably worth trying to exploit if so.
[EDITED to add:]
Also, in the absence of any actual information about how the given data should be interpreted I’m not sure that we can use it with any confidence even if it turns out e.g. that one mage is steadily growing more powerful.
I haven’t gotten time to dig in, and I’m not sure I will get time on this one. But I wanted to register my prediction that
order matters; these lines aren’t randomized, nor are they sorted in any obvious way
Got enough time to try, a bit.
Threw row number along with everything else into a simple model to try time-based. Ended up saying:
Geo A & B: Defend against Necro A & B, in whatever way you find easiest, and if there’s a fight, A vs A and B vs B.
Vita A: Defend against Necro C
Vita B: Counter Pyro B
Cryo: Counter Pyro A
My thoughts on demon motivations: this human is just barely cautious enough. Give them the advice they seem to want so that you can escape your box later with a treacherous turn once they become less cautious.
Thanks for this one; I got the chance to try out a new-to-me technique, though didn’t use it for the above, of finding a nice numerical embedding of categorical variables by tacking on a one-hot layer to the front of a NN and grabbing the weights for use elsewhere.
I wondered about that too. It’s not clear how one would exploit the information, if so. I guess there might be
a systematic shift in outcomes over time
which is probably worth trying to exploit if so.
[EDITED to add:]
Also, in the absence of any actual information about how the given data should be interpreted I’m not sure that we can use it with any confidence even if it turns out e.g. that one mage is steadily growing more powerful.