From a straight expected value case, it can still be an easy call—cryonics has a nonzero chance of working, and p(doom) is less than 100%, and cryonics doesn’t cost much (for his class of worker).
A low-cost, low-chance wager with an insanely high payoff (more life) is an easy lottery ticket to justify.
It probably does indicate that he puts an extremely low weight on Basilisk-like futures, where he gets resurrected just to be tortured forever. I agree that this is orders of magnitude less probable than other cryonics-works scenarios.
From a straight expected value case, it can still be an easy call—cryonics has a nonzero chance of working, and p(doom) is less than 100%, and cryonics doesn’t cost much (for his class of worker).
A low-cost, low-chance wager with an insanely high payoff (more life) is an easy lottery ticket to justify.
It probably does indicate that he puts an extremely low weight on Basilisk-like futures, where he gets resurrected just to be tortured forever. I agree that this is orders of magnitude less probable than other cryonics-works scenarios.