I’m tempted to say when this page was first published.
Of course the core idea is older than that, going back to at least Moravec’s calculations of when AGI would arrive based on number of neuron in the retina in Mind Children (1988). But until the late 2010s that point there was still a lot of uncertainty about the relative contribution of algorithms and compute to general AI. Hence the “brain in a box in a basement” model.
Perhaps it would be more correct to say “before the scaling hypothesis was really validated”.
I’m tempted to say when this page was first published.
Of course the core idea is older than that, going back to at least Moravec’s calculations of when AGI would arrive based on number of neuron in the retina in Mind Children (1988). But until the late 2010s that point there was still a lot of uncertainty about the relative contribution of algorithms and compute to general AI. Hence the “brain in a box in a basement” model.
Perhaps it would be more correct to say “before the scaling hypothesis was really validated”.