Ah, okay.
I’ll throw in my moderately strong disagreement for future bayes points, respect for the short term, unambiguous prediction!
TBC, I’m at “Probably” not “Definitely.” My 50% mark is in 2028 now, so I have a decent amount of probability mass (maybe 30%?) stretching across the 2030′s.
Gotcha, you didn’t sound OVER confident so I assumed it was much-less-than-certain, still refreshingly concrete
Ah, okay.
I’ll throw in my moderately strong disagreement for future bayes points, respect for the short term, unambiguous prediction!
TBC, I’m at “Probably” not “Definitely.” My 50% mark is in 2028 now, so I have a decent amount of probability mass (maybe 30%?) stretching across the 2030′s.
Gotcha, you didn’t sound OVER confident so I assumed it was much-less-than-certain, still refreshingly concrete