My point is precisely that you should not infer from this that our policies have been mostly good; instead they have been barely adequate to the task. Fortunately for Australia, if you maintain zero spread and crack down hard and early (on single-digit cases), the other details really don’t matter so much. What we’re seeing now is what happens when you don’t crack down so early...
I don’t see how policies that are barely adequate to the task can result in an excellent outcome. I wouldn’t call them that way at least, I would call them appropriate policies.
if you maintain zero spread and crack down hard and early (on single-digit cases), the other details really don’t matter so much.
Yes, I agree too, but I would rephrase it: they got right the most important thing that they had to get right, and that’s what counts
I don’t see how policies that are barely adequate...can result in an excellent outcome
Because spread is exponential? “barely adequate” sounds slightly exaggerated to me, but if a country acts early and quickly, quarantining every case, they can mess up in other ways (so that R0 is well above 1) but still not have any Covid cases. I figured this was how Covid was controlled in Australia, NZ and SK (I still don’t get what happened in Japan tho).
Our outcomes have been mostly good.
My point is precisely that you should not infer from this that our policies have been mostly good; instead they have been barely adequate to the task. Fortunately for Australia, if you maintain zero spread and crack down hard and early (on single-digit cases), the other details really don’t matter so much. What we’re seeing now is what happens when you don’t crack down so early...
I don’t see how policies that are barely adequate to the task can result in an excellent outcome. I wouldn’t call them that way at least, I would call them appropriate policies.
Yes, I agree too, but I would rephrase it: they got right the most important thing that they had to get right, and that’s what counts
Because spread is exponential? “barely adequate” sounds slightly exaggerated to me, but if a country acts early and quickly, quarantining every case, they can mess up in other ways (so that R0 is well above 1) but still not have any Covid cases. I figured this was how Covid was controlled in Australia, NZ and SK (I still don’t get what happened in Japan tho).