Thanks, this style of feedback is much easier for me to understand! I’m a bit confused about how much I should care about people having liked my post on GiveWell since it doesn’t seem like the discourse going forward changed much as a result. I don’t think I’ve seen a single clear example of someone taking initiative (where saying something new in public based on engagement with the post’s underlying model would count as taking initiative) as a result of that post, and making different giving decisions would probably count too. As a consolation prize, I’ll accept reduced initiative in counterproductive directions.
If you can point me to an example of either of those (obviously I’d have to take your word about counterfactuals) then I’ll update away from thinking that writing that sort of post is futile. Strength of update depends somewhat on effect size, of course.
FWIW, your Givewell posts have formed an important background model of how I think about the funding landscape.
I considered pushing forward in a direction that looked like “Get Good Ventures to change direction”, but after looking into the situation more, my takeaway was “Good Ventures / OpenPhil don’t actually look like they should be doing things differently. I have some sense that everyone else should be doing things differently, but not a clear sense on how to coordinate around that.”
I don’t think I’ve seen a single clear example of someone taking initiative (where saying something new in public based on engagement with the post’s underlying model would count as taking initiative) as a result of that post, and making different giving decisions would probably count too.
I wrote a post that was in part a response/followup to your GiveWell post although I’m not sure if you’d count that as engagement with your underlying model or just superficially engaging with the conclusions or going off on a tangent or something like that.
I think I have some general confusion about what you’re trying to do. If you think you have ideas that are good enough to, upon vetting by a wider community, potentially be basis for action for others or help change other people’s decisions, or be the basis for further thinking by others, and aren’t getting as much engagement as you hope, it seems like you should try harder to communicate your ideas clearly and to a wide audience. On the other hand if you’re still pretty confused about something and still trying to figure things out to your own satisfaction, then it would make sense to just talk with others who already share your context and not try super hard to make things clear to a wider audience. Or do you think you’ve figured some things out but it doesn’t seem cost effective to communicate to a wider audience but you might as well put them out there in a low-effort way and maybe a few readers will get your ideas.
(So one suggestion/complaint is to make clearer which type of post is which. Just throwing things out there isn’t low cost if it wastes readers’ time! Again maybe you think that should just be obvious from looking at the first few paragraphs of a post but it was not to me, in part because others like Eliezer use dialogs to write the first kind of post. In retrospect he was writing fictionalized dialogs instead of reporting actual dialogs but I think that’s why the post didn’t immediately jump out to me as “maybe this isn’t worthwhile for me to try to understand so I should stop before I invest more time/effort into it”.)
It seems like you’re saying that you rarely or never get enough engagement with the first type of writing, so you no longer think that is cost effective for you, but then what is your motivation for trying to figure these things out now? Just to guide your own actions and maybe a very small group of others? If so, what is your reason for being so pessimistic about getting your ideas into a wider audience if you tried harder? Are there not comparably complex or subtle or counterintuitive ideas that have gotten into a wider audience?
Thanks, this style of feedback is much easier for me to understand! I’m a bit confused about how much I should care about people having liked my post on GiveWell since it doesn’t seem like the discourse going forward changed much as a result. I don’t think I’ve seen a single clear example of someone taking initiative (where saying something new in public based on engagement with the post’s underlying model would count as taking initiative) as a result of that post, and making different giving decisions would probably count too. As a consolation prize, I’ll accept reduced initiative in counterproductive directions.
If you can point me to an example of either of those (obviously I’d have to take your word about counterfactuals) then I’ll update away from thinking that writing that sort of post is futile. Strength of update depends somewhat on effect size, of course.
FWIW, your Givewell posts have formed an important background model of how I think about the funding landscape.
I considered pushing forward in a direction that looked like “Get Good Ventures to change direction”, but after looking into the situation more, my takeaway was “Good Ventures / OpenPhil don’t actually look like they should be doing things differently. I have some sense that everyone else should be doing things differently, but not a clear sense on how to coordinate around that.”
I wrote a post that was in part a response/followup to your GiveWell post although I’m not sure if you’d count that as engagement with your underlying model or just superficially engaging with the conclusions or going off on a tangent or something like that.
I think I have some general confusion about what you’re trying to do. If you think you have ideas that are good enough to, upon vetting by a wider community, potentially be basis for action for others or help change other people’s decisions, or be the basis for further thinking by others, and aren’t getting as much engagement as you hope, it seems like you should try harder to communicate your ideas clearly and to a wide audience. On the other hand if you’re still pretty confused about something and still trying to figure things out to your own satisfaction, then it would make sense to just talk with others who already share your context and not try super hard to make things clear to a wider audience. Or do you think you’ve figured some things out but it doesn’t seem cost effective to communicate to a wider audience but you might as well put them out there in a low-effort way and maybe a few readers will get your ideas.
(So one suggestion/complaint is to make clearer which type of post is which. Just throwing things out there isn’t low cost if it wastes readers’ time! Again maybe you think that should just be obvious from looking at the first few paragraphs of a post but it was not to me, in part because others like Eliezer use dialogs to write the first kind of post. In retrospect he was writing fictionalized dialogs instead of reporting actual dialogs but I think that’s why the post didn’t immediately jump out to me as “maybe this isn’t worthwhile for me to try to understand so I should stop before I invest more time/effort into it”.)
It seems like you’re saying that you rarely or never get enough engagement with the first type of writing, so you no longer think that is cost effective for you, but then what is your motivation for trying to figure these things out now? Just to guide your own actions and maybe a very small group of others? If so, what is your reason for being so pessimistic about getting your ideas into a wider audience if you tried harder? Are there not comparably complex or subtle or counterintuitive ideas that have gotten into a wider audience?