Because the prior probability of something titled “rationalist sonnets about being a person” being any good is low, and the likely degree of badness so abysmal, that reading would be more likely to generate an incorrect judgment of high quality than a correct judgment of high quality. I should downvote even if I think I should upvote. Giving it a chance would just be exposing myself to risk.
Were you just going by the title of the post? Should the facts that the post has 7 upvotes (and I think had 8 before you downvoted it) and I have over 5000 karma points affect your priors?
Should the facts that the post has 7 upvotes (and I think had 8 before you downvoted it) and I have over 5000 karma points affect your priors?
Not as much as you might think. Being able to get LW karma isn’t a very good predictor of poetic ability, I’ve seen fairly mediocre pro-secular-humanist poetry receive a generally positive reaction on LW before, and the evidence of the title mostly screens off that stuff anyway.
Voted down without reading.
Why?
Because the prior probability of something titled “rationalist sonnets about being a person” being any good is low, and the likely degree of badness so abysmal, that reading would be more likely to generate an incorrect judgment of high quality than a correct judgment of high quality. I should downvote even if I think I should upvote. Giving it a chance would just be exposing myself to risk.
Were you just going by the title of the post? Should the facts that the post has 7 upvotes (and I think had 8 before you downvoted it) and I have over 5000 karma points affect your priors?
Yes.
Not as much as you might think. Being able to get LW karma isn’t a very good predictor of poetic ability, I’ve seen fairly mediocre pro-secular-humanist poetry receive a generally positive reaction on LW before, and the evidence of the title mostly screens off that stuff anyway.