99% P(crazy shit): 1% P(RG guilty| no crazy shit): 99.9999%
Sorry, how do you get 99.9999% as a unit weighted combination of 99 and 1 ?!
the 99 and 1 are approximations.
Although my primary motivation is that P(it mattering) is very very small.
Also it’s possible that there is crazy shit and he is still guilty.
Sorry, how do you get 99.9999% as a unit weighted combination of 99 and 1 ?!
the 99 and 1 are approximations.
Although my primary motivation is that P(it mattering) is very very small.
Also it’s possible that there is crazy shit and he is still guilty.