Given the expected date would be skewed to infinity by a non-zero estimate of the Singularity not occurring, you can probably put your estimate of the year X so that P( S ⇐ X | C ) = 0.5, where S is the statistic “Year singularity will occur” and C is the event “Singularity will occur”.
Given the expected date would be skewed to infinity by a non-zero estimate of the Singularity not occurring, you can probably put your estimate of the year X so that P( S ⇐ X | C ) = 0.5, where S is the statistic “Year singularity will occur” and C is the event “Singularity will occur”.