I’m having trouble following how this works. What’s wrong with the following argument?
If you’re being asked this question before the event, you know that you won’t be a new clone. So assuming N>2, you should always choose the world where the event happens.
I mean, I suppose you could get this situations working if you assumed a notion of psychological identity instead of something tied to your physical body, but if you are using this assumption, it should at least be acknowledged.
The beauty of the approach is that it’s agnostic about such things. It can support your view (let’s call it physical continuity) the same way it supports SSA and SIA. More precisely, you can give UDT a fixed measure of care about descendants that is 33% SSA, 33% SIA and 33% physical continuity. Then the post shows that UDT will make decisions as though it was adjusting these weights after each observation, so from the perspective of each view it will look like UDT is learning that view with high probability. That was the goal of the post—to give a crisp model of updating in favor of this or that anthropic assumption.
I’m having trouble following how this works. What’s wrong with the following argument?
I mean, I suppose you could get this situations working if you assumed a notion of psychological identity instead of something tied to your physical body, but if you are using this assumption, it should at least be acknowledged.
The beauty of the approach is that it’s agnostic about such things. It can support your view (let’s call it physical continuity) the same way it supports SSA and SIA. More precisely, you can give UDT a fixed measure of care about descendants that is 33% SSA, 33% SIA and 33% physical continuity. Then the post shows that UDT will make decisions as though it was adjusting these weights after each observation, so from the perspective of each view it will look like UDT is learning that view with high probability. That was the goal of the post—to give a crisp model of updating in favor of this or that anthropic assumption.