Right at the moment of the post, the mythos export control issue is unresolved, creating uncertainty for work at the frontier. With hindsight, we may look back at this period and see it as a pause, at least for deployment.
I’m personally against a pause for a lot of reasons. I also think that the US government request to delay gpt5.6 is consistent with my belief that we are presently in a pause.
I further assert that as this pause continues, nothing of value for AI safety will be done. I expect pro-pause advocates will agitate first for ‘opening the labs to scrutiny’ then ‘stopping development in addition to deployment’, and eventually ‘making it permanent’. All without producing any economic value, or useful contributions to the fields where better LLMs would have helped.
But, we got a pause, so I hope someone proves me wrong.
Right at the moment of the post, the mythos export control issue is unresolved, creating uncertainty for work at the frontier. With hindsight, we may look back at this period and see it as a pause, at least for deployment.
Is this pause being usefully exploited?
Is a pause in deployment actually helpful for safety?
I think it’s roughly net neutral. It reduces incentives to develop but not much, and it reduces outside safety scrutiny of internal systems by a lot.
As soon as we get ASI we are all dead—so honestly it just maybe gives us a bit more time on this earth
The idea that alignment of an ASI is a tractable problem is obviously absurd
I’m personally against a pause for a lot of reasons. I also think that the US government request to delay gpt5.6 is consistent with my belief that we are presently in a pause.
I further assert that as this pause continues, nothing of value for AI safety will be done. I expect pro-pause advocates will agitate first for ‘opening the labs to scrutiny’ then ‘stopping development in addition to deployment’, and eventually ‘making it permanent’. All without producing any economic value, or useful contributions to the fields where better LLMs would have helped.
But, we got a pause, so I hope someone proves me wrong.