This crazy paper says that if you’re in your 20s, and in a high income country, then having comorbidities changes the Covid IFR by 200x. Two hundred times! It basically means I shouldn’t care about getting covid if I have no comorbidities.
Can someone tell me why this paper is insane? Surely we’d notice if almost nobody who died of covid in their 20s had zero comorbidities, right? If not, I’m giving up on all this lockdown stuff. But I am mostly expecting it to be mistaken.
You could give up on lockdown stuff, but don’t forget that you can very likely still transmit the disease, and I would be surprised if less than 20% of the cost of getting the disease were secondary effects of spreading it to other people, so even if you update towards zero personal risk, it seems unlikely that you would want to update more than 5x on your current cost estimates.
This crazy paper says that if you’re in your 20s, and in a high income country, then having comorbidities changes the Covid IFR by 200x. Two hundred times! It basically means I shouldn’t care about getting covid if I have no comorbidities.
Can someone tell me why this paper is insane? Surely we’d notice if almost nobody who died of covid in their 20s had zero comorbidities, right? If not, I’m giving up on all this lockdown stuff. But I am mostly expecting it to be mistaken.
Relevant table:
You could give up on lockdown stuff, but don’t forget that you can very likely still transmit the disease, and I would be surprised if less than 20% of the cost of getting the disease were secondary effects of spreading it to other people, so even if you update towards zero personal risk, it seems unlikely that you would want to update more than 5x on your current cost estimates.
What, this article does an independent analysis and comes to similar conclusion. Wtf.