EY saying that he would be happy with building ASI even if it only had a 10% chance of working out and not extinguishing humanity.
Not the main point of your post, but, I roll to disbelieve on this being a real thing he said – do you have a quote for that? (I maybe remember a version that was more like 50%)
Not the main point of your post, but, I roll to disbelieve on this being a real thing he said – do you have a quote for that? (I maybe remember a version that was more like 50%)
I am pretty confident in my memory because I was a bit surprised to read it myself so it was salient. It was a tweet.
Twitter’s search engine ignores the “%” symbol in search queries and I can’t DM him on Twitter without paying. @Eliezer Yudkowsky paging
Maybe there is a better way to search the corpus of his tweets.
Okay Grok seems to have done a good job looking at EY’s tweets. https://x.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1070095112791715846 tweet thread gives your 50% number so perhaps you’re right