“I’m not saying that anyone isn’t doing the best they can individually, I’m just saying that they collectively really ought to be able to find a better nash equilibrium.”
“Oh, you’re in <major field/institution>? I thought Moloch had already eaten all the value there.”
“No, I was into AI x-risk before it was cool.”
“No of course I’m not saving for retirement.”
“Well, in science we have standards of what qualifies as evidence. In increasing order of respectability, we have personal opinion, expert opinion, case reports, cohort studies, RCTs, and meta-analyses.
And then if none of those work, we use what’s known as an ‘SSC lit review’.”
“Maybe it would help if you moved to the Bay?”
“Never ever ever move to the Bay.”
“You may have changed my betting odds, but you haven’t changed my models!”
“Here’s five dollars; I knew you would have made that bet with me had I offered it to you at the time, and it turns out I was wrong.”
“Someone’s clearly being modest! I won’t believe you until you actually buy all the lightbulbs you can and prove me wrong.”
“Logical Induction: a financial solution to the computer science problem of metamathematics.”
“I don’t read the comments on SSC per se. I just use ctrl-F and then read all the threads that Scott has replied to.”
“In reality, humans never recurse more than 3 times. This is called the ‘Pants Principle’, based off an exception to the rule where Eliezer’s pants were supposed to go in the washing but ended up in Washington DC.”
“Did you know that all statistical distributions are actually power laws?”
“There are only two books: The Sequences, and the collected essays of Paul Graham. All else is stamp-collecting.”
“None of this is a coincidence, because nothing is ever a coincidence.”
“Taboo tradeoffs? Sure: I can have different quantities of a various things, and I need to pick the quantities of each thing / allocate resources among them in the way maximises my preferences given the various costs.
“I live with rationalists, and all my friends are rationalists. That’s right, I consider myself ‘rationalist-adjacent’.”
“Have you considered just reading the Feynman Lectures on Physics?”
“I HAVE NOT WORKED OUT ALL OF THE BUGS IN THE PART_SEA FUNCTION.”
“I think we need to make the concept of common knowledge common knowledge.”
“I think my organisation is coming down with a case of cost-disease.”
“I call ‘beliefs’ the things that generate my predictions. I call ‘reality’ the things that determines the outcomes.”
“The control group is out of control!”
“All of my terminal goals are actually about aesthetics and art, but I still care about AI because avoiding an existential catastrophe is the convergent instrumental goal of many goal systems—including mine.”
“I’m not saying that anyone isn’t doing the best they can individually, I’m just saying that they collectively really ought to be able to find a better nash equilibrium.”
“Oh, you’re in <major field/institution>? I thought Moloch had already eaten all the value there.”
“No, I was into AI x-risk before it was cool.”
“No of course I’m not saving for retirement.”
“Well, in science we have standards of what qualifies as evidence. In increasing order of respectability, we have personal opinion, expert opinion, case reports, cohort studies, RCTs, and meta-analyses.
And then if none of those work, we use what’s known as an ‘SSC lit review’.”
“Maybe it would help if you moved to the Bay?”
“Never ever ever move to the Bay.”
“You may have changed my betting odds, but you haven’t changed my models!”
“Here’s five dollars; I knew you would have made that bet with me had I offered it to you at the time, and it turns out I was wrong.”
“Someone’s clearly being modest! I won’t believe you until you actually buy all the lightbulbs you can and prove me wrong.”
“Logical Induction: a financial solution to the computer science problem of metamathematics.”
“I don’t read the comments on SSC per se. I just use ctrl-F and then read all the threads that Scott has replied to.”
“In reality, humans never recurse more than 3 times. This is called the ‘Pants Principle’, based off an exception to the rule where Eliezer’s pants were supposed to go in the washing but ended up in Washington DC.”
“Did you know that all statistical distributions are actually power laws?”
“There are only two books: The Sequences, and the collected essays of Paul Graham. All else is stamp-collecting.”
“None of this is a coincidence, because nothing is ever a coincidence.”
“Taboo tradeoffs? Sure: I can have different quantities of a various things, and I need to pick the quantities of each thing / allocate resources among them in the way maximises my preferences given the various costs.
“I live with rationalists, and all my friends are rationalists. That’s right, I consider myself ‘rationalist-adjacent’.”
“Have you considered just reading the Feynman Lectures on Physics?”
“I HAVE NOT WORKED OUT ALL OF THE BUGS IN THE PART_SEA FUNCTION.”
“I think we need to make the concept of common knowledge common knowledge.”
“I think my organisation is coming down with a case of cost-disease.”
“I call ‘beliefs’ the things that generate my predictions. I call ‘reality’ the things that determines the outcomes.”
“The control group is out of control!”
“All of my terminal goals are actually about aesthetics and art, but I still care about AI because avoiding an existential catastrophe is the convergent instrumental goal of many goal systems—including mine.”
FYI, the pants ended up in Washington DC (I think this is important because they were supposed to end up in the washing machine)
Edited.
It me.