EDIT: I’m having a hard time explaining what i am trying to say, i will post a new comment or top level post if i manage to figure it out. Basically I’m trying to say that there already well working and documented methods for connecting and updating beliefs in the world of outlier student research.
I have stumbled on links to his books and blogs, many on the IRC channel where rather sceptical of the usefulness of his advice. My own prior was rather low.
Nevertheless I would very like LWers to share their impressions on this, since there is something there that looks almost like it could work.
I would find such a post very useful.
This video tries to explain what i mean, i hope the inferential distance is not too far
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=1F3vmNeyOvU
I have stumbled on links to his books and blogs, many on the IRC channel where rather sceptical of the usefulness of his advice. My own prior was rather low.
Nevertheless I would very like LWers to share their impressions on this, since there is something there that looks almost like it could work.
I would also be interested and upvoted both this post and the parent for encouragement.
I found a video that explains what i mean at a very basic level http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=1F3vmNeyOvU