I feel like the terms for public/private beliefs are gonna crash with the fairly established terminology for independent impressions and all-things-considered beliefs (I’ve seen these referred to as “public” and “private” beliefs before, but I can’t remember the source). The idea is that sometimes you want to report your independent impressions rather than your Aumann-updated model of the world, because if everyone does the latter it can lead to double-counting of evidence and information cascades.
Information cascades develop consistently in a laboratory situation in which other incentives to go along with the crowd are minimized. Some decision sequences result in reverse cascades, where initial misrepresentative signals start a chain of incorrect [but individually rational] decisions that is not broken by more representative signals received later. - (Anderson & Holt, 1998)
I don’t want people to conflate the above socioepistemological ideas with the importantly different concepts in this post, so I prefer flagging my beliefs as “legible” or “illegible” to give a sense of how productive/educational I expect talking to me about them will be.
Bonus point: The failure mode of not admitting your own illegible/private beliefs can lead tomyopic empiricism, whereby you stunt your epistemic growth by refusing to update on a large class of evidence. Severe cases often exhibit an unnatural tendency to consume academic papers over blog posts.
I feel like the terms for public/private beliefs are gonna crash with the fairly established terminology for independent impressions and all-things-considered beliefs (I’ve seen these referred to as “public” and “private” beliefs before, but I can’t remember the source). The idea is that sometimes you want to report your independent impressions rather than your Aumann-updated model of the world, because if everyone does the latter it can lead to double-counting of evidence and information cascades.
I don’t want people to conflate the above socioepistemological ideas with the importantly different concepts in this post, so I prefer flagging my beliefs as “legible” or “illegible” to give a sense of how productive/educational I expect talking to me about them will be.
Bonus point: The failure mode of not admitting your own illegible/private beliefs can lead to myopic empiricism, whereby you stunt your epistemic growth by refusing to update on a large class of evidence. Severe cases often exhibit an unnatural tendency to consume academic papers over blog posts.