As for Galeev’s threads: As a person from the former Ostblok, where countries share similar dynamics, there was nothing there that made me call bullshit on the spot. I am not a Russian though so I can’t vouch for the particular details.
As a Russian I confirm that everything that Galeev says seems legit. I haven’t been following our politics that much, but Gallev’s model of Putin’s fits my observations.
The only thing that looked a little suspicious to me was the thread on Russian parliamentarism—there was an opportunity to say something about Navalny’s team there (e.g. as a central example of party that can’t be registered or something about them organizing protests), and I expected that he would mention it, but he didn’t. In fact, I don’t think he ever mentioned Navalny in any of his threads. Why?
Yes, I think that it is the most likely scenario. Still, it bothered me enough that I mentioned it—I consider such omission 2-3 times more likely in a world where there are other important (intentional) omissions that I haven’t noticed than in a world where he is honest.
I still think that reading Galeev is worth it and that he is trustworthy enough source. But if for example he’ll make a thread on modern Russian opposition that doesn’t mention Navalny, it’ll be a huge red flag for me.
Galeev mentions Navalny in his newest thread about power dynamics and how they might change in response to the current crisis. It’s a long thread so you’ll need to scroll down quite a bit to see the section on Navalny. Galeev doesn’t portray him in a very positive manner.
As for Galeev’s threads: As a person from the former Ostblok, where countries share similar dynamics, there was nothing there that made me call bullshit on the spot. I am not a Russian though so I can’t vouch for the particular details.
As a Russian I confirm that everything that Galeev says seems legit. I haven’t been following our politics that much, but Gallev’s model of Putin’s fits my observations.
The only thing that looked a little suspicious to me was the thread on Russian parliamentarism—there was an opportunity to say something about Navalny’s team there (e.g. as a central example of party that can’t be registered or something about them organizing protests), and I expected that he would mention it, but he didn’t. In fact, I don’t think he ever mentioned Navalny in any of his threads. Why?
Interesting question. My guess is he doesn’t consider it important?
Yes, I think that it is the most likely scenario. Still, it bothered me enough that I mentioned it—I consider such omission 2-3 times more likely in a world where there are other important (intentional) omissions that I haven’t noticed than in a world where he is honest.
I still think that reading Galeev is worth it and that he is trustworthy enough source. But if for example he’ll make a thread on modern Russian opposition that doesn’t mention Navalny, it’ll be a huge red flag for me.
Galeev mentions Navalny in his newest thread about power dynamics and how they might change in response to the current crisis. It’s a long thread so you’ll need to scroll down quite a bit to see the section on Navalny. Galeev doesn’t portray him in a very positive manner.
Same here. I am not an expert, but everything I have read so far fits my model of the world.