. I suspect that this question about why simple explanations are so effective in this universe is unanswerable but still fun to speculate about.
What does “effective” mean? If you are using a simplicity criterion to decide between theories that already known to be predictive , as in Solomonoff induction, then simplicity doesn’t buy you any extra predictiveness.
What does “effective” mean? If you are using a simplicity criterion to decide between theories that already known to be predictive , as in Solomonoff induction, then simplicity doesn’t buy you any extra predictiveness.