Why is this style of pessimism repeatedly wrong?
Beware selection bias. If it wasn’t repeatedly wrong, there’s a good chance we wouldn’t be here to ask the question!
The opposite view is that progress is a matter of luck.
Hm. I tend to not view the pessimistic side as luck so much as ‘there’s a finite number of useful techs, which we are rapidly burning through’.
Beware selection bias. If it wasn’t repeatedly wrong, there’s a good chance we wouldn’t be here to ask the question!
Hm. I tend to not view the pessimistic side as luck so much as ‘there’s a finite number of useful techs, which we are rapidly burning through’.