It is probably wrong to interpret DA as “doom is imminent”. DA just say that we are likely in the middle of total population of all humans (or other relevant observers) ever born.
For some emotional reasons we are not satisfied to be in the middle and interprets it as “doom”—but there are 100 billion more people in the future according to DA. It becomes look like a doom, if we account for expected population growth, as in that case, the next 100 billion people will appear in a few hundreds years.
More over, DA tells that doom very soon is very unlikely, which I call “reverse DA”.
There are two versions of the DA; the first is “we should roughly be in the middle”, and the second is “our birth rank is less likely if there were many more humans in the future”.
I was more thinking of the second case, but I’ve changed the post slightly to make it more compatible with the first.
It is probably wrong to interpret DA as “doom is imminent”. DA just say that we are likely in the middle of total population of all humans (or other relevant observers) ever born.
For some emotional reasons we are not satisfied to be in the middle and interprets it as “doom”—but there are 100 billion more people in the future according to DA. It becomes look like a doom, if we account for expected population growth, as in that case, the next 100 billion people will appear in a few hundreds years.
More over, DA tells that doom very soon is very unlikely, which I call “reverse DA”.
There are two versions of the DA; the first is “we should roughly be in the middle”, and the second is “our birth rank is less likely if there were many more humans in the future”.
I was more thinking of the second case, but I’ve changed the post slightly to make it more compatible with the first.