My real probability is something like 4%-5% (I initially reacted with both <1% and with 10%, not reverting to that), but there was no great react for that. I don’t feel like betting on that, but let me think about it. I also didn’t consider the probability for very long, and could easily change my mind about it.
My real probability is something like 4%-5% (I initially reacted with both <1% and with 10%, not reverting to that), but there was no great react for that. I don’t feel like betting on that, but let me think about it. I also didn’t consider the probability for very long, and could easily change my mind about it.