I think the easiest way to engage with the circularity problem is to regard computation and expected value of computation estimates as occurring on the same level of abstraction as everything else, including the expected losses from unknowns/uncertainty.
I think the easiest way to engage with the circularity problem is to regard computation and expected value of computation estimates as occurring on the same level of abstraction as everything else, including the expected losses from unknowns/uncertainty.
Perhaps so. Maybe I can entice you to write something longer on this point, as I just opened an essay contest for the book: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/vMJbnnvvrHNw728NC/fundamental-uncertainty-usd2-000-essay-contest