Regulatory thresholds based on total compute expended. I get the feeling there’s a lot less talk of the form “10^26 flops is OK, but 10^27 is dangerous.” The pace of algorithmic improvement is such that no fixed threshold makes sense.
I was confused why this was ever a thing. I just assumed everyone had seen this chart and noticed how even if the blue line plateaus the green and red need not, especially given tremendous persistent economic incentives. Maybe the counterargument is “obviously the proposers knew this, what they actually proposed were thresholds that would ratchet downward over time to adjust”?
Regulatory thresholds based on total compute expended. I get the feeling there’s a lot less talk of the form “10^26 flops is OK, but 10^27 is dangerous.” The pace of algorithmic improvement is such that no fixed threshold makes sense.
I was confused why this was ever a thing. I just assumed everyone had seen this chart and noticed how even if the blue line plateaus the green and red need not, especially given tremendous persistent economic incentives. Maybe the counterargument is “obviously the proposers knew this, what they actually proposed were thresholds that would ratchet downward over time to adjust”?