ok, so your model is that AI won’t be able to do capability X until they’re able to do capability Y, and so far the evidence shows that they’re not close to doing capability Y. what exactly are X and Y here?
It’s a bit difficult to explain quickly, but some of my thoughts on the matter are here.
And here: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jXjeYYPXipAtA2zmj/jacquesthibs-s-shortform?commentId=pCiAsJ7NLXrtBymw2
ok, so your model is that AI won’t be able to do capability X until they’re able to do capability Y, and so far the evidence shows that they’re not close to doing capability Y. what exactly are X and Y here?
It’s a bit difficult to explain quickly, but some of my thoughts on the matter are here.
And here: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jXjeYYPXipAtA2zmj/jacquesthibs-s-shortform?commentId=pCiAsJ7NLXrtBymw2