I like your emphasis on good research. I agree that the best current research does probably trade 1:1 with crunch time.
I think we should apply the same qualification to theoretical research. Well-directed theory is highly useful; poorly-directed theory is almost useless in expectation.
I think theory directed specifically at LLM-based takeover-capable systems is neglected, possibly in part because empiricists focused on LLMs distrust theory, while theorists tend to dislike messy LLMs.
I like your emphasis on good research. I agree that the best current research does probably trade 1:1 with crunch time.
I think we should apply the same qualification to theoretical research. Well-directed theory is highly useful; poorly-directed theory is almost useless in expectation.
I think theory directed specifically at LLM-based takeover-capable systems is neglected, possibly in part because empiricists focused on LLMs distrust theory, while theorists tend to dislike messy LLMs.