Someone in the AI safety community (e.g. Yud, Critch, Salamon, you) can currently, within 6 month’s effort, write a 20,000 word document that would pass a threshold for a coordination takeoff on Earth, given that 1 million smart Americans and Europeans would read all of it and intended to try out much of the advice (i.e. the doc succeeds given 1m serious reads, it doesn’t need to cause 1m serious reads). Copy-pasting already-written documents/posts would count.
Someone in the AI safety community (e.g. Yud, Critch, Salamon, you) can currently, within 6 month’s effort, write a 20,000 word document that would pass a threshold for a coordination takeoff on Earth, given that 1 million smart Americans and Europeans would read all of it and intended to try out much of the advice (i.e. the doc succeeds given 1m serious reads, it doesn’t need to cause 1m serious reads). Copy-pasting already-written documents/posts would count.