~1% of the world dies every year. If we accelerate AGI sooner 1 year, we save 1%. Push back 1 year, lose 1%. So, pushing back 1 year is only worth it if we reduce P(doom) by 1%.
That would imply that if you could flip a switch which 90% chance kills everyone, 10% chance grants immortality then (assuming there weren’t any alternative paths to immortality) you would take it. Is that correct?
That would imply that if you could flip a switch which 90% chance kills everyone, 10% chance grants immortality then (assuming there weren’t any alternative paths to immortality) you would take it. Is that correct?
Gut reaction is “nope!”.
Could you spell out the implication?