I think these are blind guesses and relying on the benchmarks is the streetlight effect, as I think we talked about in another thread. I am mostly explaining in as much detail as I can the parts I think are relevant to Neel’s objection, since it is substantively the most common objection, ie, that paying attention to financial incentives or work history is irrelevant to anything. I am happy that I have addressed the scenario itself in enough detail
I think these are blind guesses and relying on the benchmarks is the streetlight effect, as I think we talked about in another thread. I am mostly explaining in as much detail as I can the parts I think are relevant to Neel’s objection, since it is substantively the most common objection, ie, that paying attention to financial incentives or work history is irrelevant to anything. I am happy that I have addressed the scenario itself in enough detail