I’m confused how your estimate of the likelihood that Omicron evades vaccine protection could have gone up while your estimate of the likelihood that the previously immune are no longer protected against severe disease until they get a booster shot went down.
If vaccinated people are more likely to get infected, how is it less likely that they need an Omicron booster to protect against severe disease?
If I understand correctly, Zvi’s idea is that vaccine protection against infection has likely gone down, but vaccine protection against severe infection has held nearly constant, so that the vast majority of additional infections among vaccinated people will be non-severe.
I’m confused how your estimate of the likelihood that Omicron evades vaccine protection could have gone up while your estimate of the likelihood that the previously immune are no longer protected against severe disease until they get a booster shot went down.
If vaccinated people are more likely to get infected, how is it less likely that they need an Omicron booster to protect against severe disease?
If I understand correctly, Zvi’s idea is that vaccine protection against infection has likely gone down, but vaccine protection against severe infection has held nearly constant, so that the vast majority of additional infections among vaccinated people will be non-severe.
“severe disease” vs. “infected”