I exchanged a few PMs with a friend who moved my opinion from 12 to 13, but it was when I hadn’t yet thought about the problem much. I’d be extremely surprised if I ever change my mind now (still on 13). I don’t remember the arguments we made.
Is you current certanity in the correctness of thirdism based on some specific arguments that you remember? I know that there are a lot of arguments for thirdism, but I’d like to find the strongest ones.
After the conversation, I went on to think about anthropics a lot and worked out a model in great detail. It comes down to something like ASSA (absolute self-sampling assumption). It’s not exactly the same and I think my justification was better, but that’s the abbreviated version.
I exchanged a few PMs with a friend who moved my opinion from 12 to 13, but it was when I hadn’t yet thought about the problem much. I’d be extremely surprised if I ever change my mind now (still on 13). I don’t remember the arguments we made.
Is you current certanity in the correctness of thirdism based on some specific arguments that you remember? I know that there are a lot of arguments for thirdism, but I’d like to find the strongest ones.
After the conversation, I went on to think about anthropics a lot and worked out a model in great detail. It comes down to something like ASSA (absolute self-sampling assumption). It’s not exactly the same and I think my justification was better, but that’s the abbreviated version.
Thanks! I’ll look more into that.