As a general note I’d urge you to question the probabilities you took from Will Cryonics Work as those numbers seem to lack references (to me the look made up esp. because the are not qualified by e.g. a time until revive) and they are from a pro-cryonics site.
Yes. My calculations are lazy. I cobbled together the ideas of this post in a conversation that took place when I was supposed to be sleeping, and when I wrote it a few days later, it was by carving 2 hours out after my bedtime. Which won’t be happening again tonight because I can only work so many 12 hour shifts on five hours of sleep a night. The alternative wasn’t doing better calculations; it was not doing any calculations at all and sticking with my bottom line that cryonics doesn’t feel like something I want to do, just because.
Also: the reason I posted this publically almost as soon as I had the thought of writing it at all was to get feedback. So thank you. I will hopefully read through all the feedback and take it into account the next time I would rather do that than sleeping.
Some context googled together from earlier LW posts about this topic:
From the recent ChrisHallquists $500 thread a comment that takes the outside view and comes to a devasting conclusion: http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/jgu/i_will_pay_500_to_anyone_who_can_convince_me_to/acd5
In the discussion of a relevant blog post we have this critical comment: http://lesswrong.com/user/V_V/overview/
In the Neil deGrasse Tyson on Cryonics post a real Neuroscientist gave his very negative input: http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/8f4/neil_degrasse_tyson_on_cryonics/6krm
As a general note I’d urge you to question the probabilities you took from Will Cryonics Work as those numbers seem to
lack references (to me the look made up esp. because the are not qualified by e.g. a time until revive) and
they are from a pro-cryonics site.
Yes. My calculations are lazy. I cobbled together the ideas of this post in a conversation that took place when I was supposed to be sleeping, and when I wrote it a few days later, it was by carving 2 hours out after my bedtime. Which won’t be happening again tonight because I can only work so many 12 hour shifts on five hours of sleep a night. The alternative wasn’t doing better calculations; it was not doing any calculations at all and sticking with my bottom line that cryonics doesn’t feel like something I want to do, just because.
Also: the reason I posted this publically almost as soon as I had the thought of writing it at all was to get feedback. So thank you. I will hopefully read through all the feedback and take it into account the next time I would rather do that than sleeping.