One structure which makes sense to build in advance for these worlds are emergency response teams. We almost founded one 3 years ago, unfortunately on never payed FTX grant. Other funders decided to not fund this (at level like $200-500k) because e.g. it did not seem to them it is useful to prepare for high volatility periods, while e.g. pouring tens of millions into evals did.
I’m not exactly tracking to what extent this lack of foresight prevails (my impression is it pretty much does), but I think I can still create something like ALERT with about ~$1M of unrestricted funding.
(off topic to op, but in topic to Jan bringing up ALERT) To what extent do you believe Sentinel fulfills what you wanted to do with ALERT? Their emergency response team is pretty small rn. Would you recommend funders support that project or a new ALERT?
For emergency response, new ALERT. Personally think the forecasting/horizon scanning part of Sentinel is good, the emergency response negative in expectation. What does it mean for funders idk, would donate conditionally on the funds being restricted to the horizon scanning part.
One structure which makes sense to build in advance for these worlds are emergency response teams. We almost founded one 3 years ago, unfortunately on never payed FTX grant. Other funders decided to not fund this (at level like $200-500k) because e.g. it did not seem to them it is useful to prepare for high volatility periods, while e.g. pouring tens of millions into evals did.
I’m not exactly tracking to what extent this lack of foresight prevails (my impression is it pretty much does), but I think I can still create something like ALERT with about ~$1M of unrestricted funding.
(off topic to op, but in topic to Jan bringing up ALERT)
To what extent do you believe Sentinel fulfills what you wanted to do with ALERT? Their emergency response team is pretty small rn. Would you recommend funders support that project or a new ALERT?
For emergency response, new ALERT. Personally think the forecasting/horizon scanning part of Sentinel is good, the emergency response negative in expectation. What does it mean for funders idk, would donate conditionally on the funds being restricted to the horizon scanning part.