Due to constant MWI branching, delayed observation produces more exact copies which don’t know yet the result of the coin toss.
Applying Self-Sampling Assumption (SSA) to all exact copies, we get that I am more likely to be in the wining branch.
This isn’t how you should be doing anthropics in MWI though. You need to weigh each copy by the Born probability of its branch, which will make this effect disappear. It all adds up to normality!
Yes. That is why I added assumption that something like Youngness paradox is true: that total measure of the universe is growing or declining.
However, I think that there is a way to simulate Youngness paradox. For example, during the day I constantly add some mark to the growing share of my copies. In the morning 1 of 10 is marked, in the middle of the day 5 from 10 and and the evening 9 from 10. If I am awakened from a nap and find that I have the mark, I more likely to be in the evening.
I can use this setup to manipulate probability in MWI: If Heads, I am awaken up in the morning, and if tails in the evening. I can access my mark before getting information about Heads or Tails and the marking process is automatic and independent of the coin.
If the mark = true, I perform probability update.
If mark not true, I lose interest to betting at this setup. (This is needed to compensate the exactly opposite updating effect of not having a mark).
In biological mind, we need some monotonically growing variable during the day, like level of tiredness to work as such mark.
Epistemic comment on the above: not sure that this is a bulletproof construction, wring down it first time here.
This isn’t how you should be doing anthropics in MWI though. You need to weigh each copy by the Born probability of its branch, which will make this effect disappear. It all adds up to normality!
Yes. That is why I added assumption that something like Youngness paradox is true: that total measure of the universe is growing or declining.
However, I think that there is a way to simulate Youngness paradox. For example, during the day I constantly add some mark to the growing share of my copies. In the morning 1 of 10 is marked, in the middle of the day 5 from 10 and and the evening 9 from 10. If I am awakened from a nap and find that I have the mark, I more likely to be in the evening.
I can use this setup to manipulate probability in MWI:
If Heads, I am awaken up in the morning, and if tails in the evening. I can access my mark before getting information about Heads or Tails and the marking process is automatic and independent of the coin.
If the mark = true, I perform probability update.
If mark not true, I lose interest to betting at this setup. (This is needed to compensate the exactly opposite updating effect of not having a mark).
In biological mind, we need some monotonically growing variable during the day, like level of tiredness to work as such mark.
Epistemic comment on the above: not sure that this is a bulletproof construction, wring down it first time here.