Can work well as long as the enemy don’t have good intel regarding that actual number of trained dogs, even if they cannot identify the specific dogs. But I suspect there are probably ways to get the trained dog to reveal itself without actually giving up the bombs.
I would be surprised if this even works against the average 911-era terrorist. Stochastic enforcement with 10% success is good enough to stop well to-do people from shoplifting (small benefit, large expected cost) and to catch repeat offenders, but the success criterion for a suicide bomber is to explode and die! Why wouldn’t they just YOLO it?
I suppose it might be different if, say, you have a dozen checkpoints and only one dog, and the bombers could probably avoid a single checkpoint without getting caught sneaking over a fence or something, but if the bombers jump a dozen fences they’re likely to be caught, and if they go through all the checkpoints the one with the real dog will get them.
Can work well as long as the enemy don’t have good intel regarding that actual number of trained dogs, even if they cannot identify the specific dogs. But I suspect there are probably ways to get the trained dog to reveal itself without actually giving up the bombs.
I would be surprised if this even works against the average 911-era terrorist. Stochastic enforcement with 10% success is good enough to stop well to-do people from shoplifting (small benefit, large expected cost) and to catch repeat offenders, but the success criterion for a suicide bomber is to explode and die! Why wouldn’t they just YOLO it?
I suppose it might be different if, say, you have a dozen checkpoints and only one dog, and the bombers could probably avoid a single checkpoint without getting caught sneaking over a fence or something, but if the bombers jump a dozen fences they’re likely to be caught, and if they go through all the checkpoints the one with the real dog will get them.