AI x-risk is high, which makes cryonics less attractive (because cryonics doesn’t protect you from AI takeover-mediated human extinction). But on the flip side, timelines are short, which makes cryonics more attractive (because one of the major risks of cryonics is society persisting stably enough to keep you preserved until revival is possible, and near term AGI means that that period of time is short).
Cryonics is more likely to work, given a positive AI trajectory, and less likely to work given a negative AI trajectory.
I agree that it seems less likely to work, overall, than it seemed to me a few years ago.
Makes sense. Short timelines mean faster societal changes and so less stability. But I could see factoring societal instability risk into time-based risk and tech-based risk. If so, short timelines are net positive for the question “I’m going to die tomorrow, should I get frozen?”.
AI x-risk is high, which makes cryonics less attractive (because cryonics doesn’t protect you from AI takeover-mediated human extinction). But on the flip side, timelines are short, which makes cryonics more attractive (because one of the major risks of cryonics is society persisting stably enough to keep you preserved until revival is possible, and near term AGI means that that period of time is short).
Cryonics is more likely to work, given a positive AI trajectory, and less likely to work given a negative AI trajectory.
I agree that it seems less likely to work, overall, than it seemed to me a few years ago.
Makes sense. Short timelines mean faster societal changes and so less stability. But I could see factoring societal instability risk into time-based risk and tech-based risk. If so, short timelines are net positive for the question “I’m going to die tomorrow, should I get frozen?”.