I don’t believe it. I don’t believe that overall algorithmic progress is 3x faster. Maaaybe coding is 3x faster but that would maybe increase overall algo progress by like 30% idk. But also I don’t think coding is really 3x faster on average for the things that matter.
I meant coding in particular, I agree algorithmic progress is not 3x faster. I checked again just now with someone and they did indeed report 3x speedup for writing code, although said that the new bottleneck becomes waiting for experiments to run (note this is not obviously something that can be solved by greater automation, at least up until the point that AI is picking better experiments than humans).
I don’t believe it. I don’t believe that overall algorithmic progress is 3x faster. Maaaybe coding is 3x faster but that would maybe increase overall algo progress by like 30% idk. But also I don’t think coding is really 3x faster on average for the things that matter.
I meant coding in particular, I agree algorithmic progress is not 3x faster. I checked again just now with someone and they did indeed report 3x speedup for writing code, although said that the new bottleneck becomes waiting for experiments to run (note this is not obviously something that can be solved by greater automation, at least up until the point that AI is picking better experiments than humans).