The qualitative conclusions seem to be the same if you use power law & most of the progress comes from change in slope:
However, if half the progress comes from change in intercept, we get this weird graph with a discontinuity at the end:
Not sure what’s going on there. Maybe the intercept has risen enough that there is no longer any crossover point, despite the slope of the AI line still being shallower than the slope of the human line?
The qualitative conclusions seem to be the same if you use power law & most of the progress comes from change in slope:
However, if half the progress comes from change in intercept, we get this weird graph with a discontinuity at the end:
Not sure what’s going on there. Maybe the intercept has risen enough that there is no longer any crossover point, despite the slope of the AI line still being shallower than the slope of the human line?