I don’t think OpenAI is funding-constrained in any real way at the moment, and using new AI systems for mundane utility seems pretty harmless (more from Zvi).
This is somewhat galaxy-brained thinking, but if GPT-4 generates enough revenue, perhaps it actually steers OpenAI execs towards slowing down? “If GPT-4 is already generating $X billion dollars on its own, why risk hundreds of millions or billions of dollars more, and a potential safety disaster or PR crisis, to train GPT-5 ASAP?”
Or, even more galaxy-brained, if enough people pay for ChatGPT+ to get mundane utility out of the chatbot, OpenAI will be capacity-constrained, possibly forcing them to raise prices (or at least delay lowering them) and price out some capabilities research that requires API use at scale.
Realistically though, I think the impact of paying for ChatGPT+ is minimal in either direction, even if everyone in your reference class also pays for it.
I don’t think OpenAI is funding-constrained in any real way at the moment, and using new AI systems for mundane utility seems pretty harmless (more from Zvi).
This is somewhat galaxy-brained thinking, but if GPT-4 generates enough revenue, perhaps it actually steers OpenAI execs towards slowing down? “If GPT-4 is already generating $X billion dollars on its own, why risk hundreds of millions or billions of dollars more, and a potential safety disaster or PR crisis, to train GPT-5 ASAP?”
Or, even more galaxy-brained, if enough people pay for ChatGPT+ to get mundane utility out of the chatbot, OpenAI will be capacity-constrained, possibly forcing them to raise prices (or at least delay lowering them) and price out some capabilities research that requires API use at scale.
Realistically though, I think the impact of paying for ChatGPT+ is minimal in either direction, even if everyone in your reference class also pays for it.