The basic arguments are that (a) becoming fully superhuman at something which involves long-horizon agency across a diverse range of situations seems like it requires agency skills that will transfer pretty well to other domains (b) once AIs have superhuman data efficiency, they can pick up whatever domain knowledge they need for new tasks very quickly.
I agree we didn’t justify it thoroughly in our supplement, the reason it’s not justified more is because we didn’t get around to it.
The basic arguments are that (a) becoming fully superhuman at something which involves long-horizon agency across a diverse range of situations seems like it requires agency skills that will transfer pretty well to other domains (b) once AIs have superhuman data efficiency, they can pick up whatever domain knowledge they need for new tasks very quickly.
I agree we didn’t justify it thoroughly in our supplement, the reason it’s not justified more is because we didn’t get around to it.