I think the chess analogy is better: if I predict that, from some specific position, MacGyver will play some sequence of ten moves that will leave him winning, and then try to demonstrate that by playing from that position and losing, would you update at all?
I think the chess analogy is better: if I predict that, from some specific position, MacGyver will play some sequence of ten moves that will leave him winning, and then try to demonstrate that by playing from that position and losing, would you update at all?