I think very few people would explicitly articulate a view like that, but I also think there are people who hold a view along the lines of, “Moore will continue strong for a number of years, and then after that compute/$ will grow at <20% as fast” – in which case, if we’re bottlenecked on hardware, whether Moore ends several years earlier vs later could have a large effect on timelines.
I think very few people would explicitly articulate a view like that, but I also think there are people who hold a view along the lines of, “Moore will continue strong for a number of years, and then after that compute/$ will grow at <20% as fast” – in which case, if we’re bottlenecked on hardware, whether Moore ends several years earlier vs later could have a large effect on timelines.