I agree with these two points, but I doubt either will have significant impact.
Human extinction is seen as extremely unlikely, almost absurd. While there are obviously many other public concerns, three other significant human extinction concerns are very rare.
We also asked for people’s extinction probability, but then many would just give a number (sometimes high), even if they didn’t see the existential risk of AI at all. Still, trends in both methodologies were usually similar.
I’m open to better methodologies, but I think this is a fair way of assessing public xrisk awareness, and a better way than asking explicit probabilities.
I agree with these two points, but I doubt either will have significant impact.
Human extinction is seen as extremely unlikely, almost absurd. While there are obviously many other public concerns, three other significant human extinction concerns are very rare.
We also asked for people’s extinction probability, but then many would just give a number (sometimes high), even if they didn’t see the existential risk of AI at all. Still, trends in both methodologies were usually similar.
I’m open to better methodologies, but I think this is a fair way of assessing public xrisk awareness, and a better way than asking explicit probabilities.