I mean, the whole premise of the Singularity is that once we solve the last few dumb impediments, the beings who’d have to deal with the subsequent dumb impediments would not be us, but the increasingly-superhuman AIs able to work through the dumb impediments at a much faster pace. Indeed, that’s just the standard Singularity narrative? (Flipping the definition: if there are still any dumb impediments left that are up to us to resolve, at our pathetic human speeds, then the Singularity hasn’t yet happened.)
I, personally, am inclined to agree that the AGI labs are underestimating just how many seemingly dumb impediments there still are on the way to the Singularity. But once the Singularity is underway, the dumb-impediment problem is no longer our problem, it’s the problem of entities much more capable of handling it. And the process of them working through those impediments at an inhuman speed is what the Singularity is.
I agree that that’s the premise. I just think that our historical track record of accuracy is poor when we say “surely we’llhave handled all the dumb impediments once we reach this milestone”. I don’t expect automated ML research to be an exception.
I mean, the whole premise of the Singularity is that once we solve the last few dumb impediments, the beings who’d have to deal with the subsequent dumb impediments would not be us, but the increasingly-superhuman AIs able to work through the dumb impediments at a much faster pace. Indeed, that’s just the standard Singularity narrative? (Flipping the definition: if there are still any dumb impediments left that are up to us to resolve, at our pathetic human speeds, then the Singularity hasn’t yet happened.)
I, personally, am inclined to agree that the AGI labs are underestimating just how many seemingly dumb impediments there still are on the way to the Singularity. But once the Singularity is underway, the dumb-impediment problem is no longer our problem, it’s the problem of entities much more capable of handling it. And the process of them working through those impediments at an inhuman speed is what the Singularity is.
I wonder if your apparent disagreement here is actually because the OP wrote “the the” instead of “to the”?
(Final sentence)
With that typo fixed, I think they’re probably right.
I agree that that’s the premise. I just think that our historical track record of accuracy is poor when we say “surely we’llhave handled all the dumb impediments once we reach this milestone”. I don’t expect automated ML research to be an exception.