This expanded list is great, but is still conspicuously missing white-collar work. Software was already the basis for the trend, so the only new one here that seems to give clear information on human labor impacts would be tesla_fsd.
(And even there replacing human drivers with AI drivers doesn’t seem like it would change much for humanity, compared to lawyers/doctors/accountants/sales/etc.)
Is it the case that for most non-software white-collar work, agents can only do ~10-20 human-minute tasks with any reliability, so the doubling time is hard to measure?
I, too, would like to know how long it will be until my job is replaced by AI; and what fields, among those I could reasonably pivot to, will last the longest.
This expanded list is great, but is still conspicuously missing white-collar work. Software was already the basis for the trend, so the only new one here that seems to give clear information on human labor impacts would be tesla_fsd.
(And even there replacing human drivers with AI drivers doesn’t seem like it would change much for humanity, compared to lawyers/doctors/accountants/sales/etc.)
Is it the case that for most non-software white-collar work, agents can only do ~10-20 human-minute tasks with any reliability, so the doubling time is hard to measure?
I, too, would like to know how long it will be until my job is replaced by AI; and what fields, among those I could reasonably pivot to, will last the longest.