Nice. Yeah I also am excited about coding uplift as a key metric to track that would probably make time horizons obsolete (or at least, constitute a significantly stronger source of evidence than time horizons). We at AIFP don’t have capacity to estimate the trend in uplift over time (I mean we can do small-N polls of frontier AI company employees...) but we hope someone does.
Nice. Yeah I also am excited about coding uplift as a key metric to track that would probably make time horizons obsolete (or at least, constitute a significantly stronger source of evidence than time horizons). We at AIFP don’t have capacity to estimate the trend in uplift over time (I mean we can do small-N polls of frontier AI company employees...) but we hope someone does.