Sorry to add to a pile-on, but just for the record:
I think the positive case for you joining OpenAI is weak-to-non-existent. Having a marginally better model of RSI isn’t clearly valuable. More detail and higher confidence parameters aren’t very important for governance or other interventions.
The case for negative impact is strong. You’ve said you know that people inside OpenAI want to use your work to accelerate RSI.
My primary model of your behavior is that you’re optimizing for importance and people paying attention to you (and maybe secondarily money), rather than primarily trying to do good. To the extent you consider me a friend, I hereby pressure you to quit.
I appreciate you writing this list of takes, I’ve heard most of them but it’s good to put things online and some of them are interesting. I disagree with some (particularly 7 and 8) for standard reasons we’ve discussed.
Sorry to add to a pile-on, but just for the record:
I think the positive case for you joining OpenAI is weak-to-non-existent. Having a marginally better model of RSI isn’t clearly valuable. More detail and higher confidence parameters aren’t very important for governance or other interventions.
The case for negative impact is strong. You’ve said you know that people inside OpenAI want to use your work to accelerate RSI.
My primary model of your behavior is that you’re optimizing for importance and people paying attention to you (and maybe secondarily money), rather than primarily trying to do good. To the extent you consider me a friend, I hereby pressure you to quit.
I appreciate you writing this list of takes, I’ve heard most of them but it’s good to put things online and some of them are interesting. I disagree with some (particularly 7 and 8) for standard reasons we’ve discussed.