(As a random reference, I thought Joe’s paper about low AI takeover risk was silly at the time, and I think that most people working on grants motivated by AI risk at OP at the time had higher estimates of AI takeover risk. I also thought a lot of takes from the Oxford EAs were pretty silly and I found them frustrating at the time and think they look worse with hindsight. Obviously, many of my beliefs at many of these time periods also look silly in hindsight.)
(As a random reference, I thought Joe’s paper about low AI takeover risk was silly at the time, and I think that most people working on grants motivated by AI risk at OP at the time had higher estimates of AI takeover risk. I also thought a lot of takes from the Oxford EAs were pretty silly and I found them frustrating at the time and think they look worse with hindsight. Obviously, many of my beliefs at many of these time periods also look silly in hindsight.)