Did you misread the comment? Clearly in the real world you will not have such perfect data sources, hence why I wrote “ And we are very far from even that.”
i.e. A practically zero chance in the ideal world turns into a hopeless endeavour, “Sisyphean Task” in the real world. And that’s also while assuming a level of intelligence way beyond you or anyone else.
I still think I understand just fine along with the several other folks expressing skepticism. To be frank your personal opinions can’t outweigh anyone else’s here so it really isn’t a productive line of discussion.
EDIT: Maybe try putting forward actual arguments, or addressing the numerous other comments with substantial points?
The whole point of probability theory is to make decisions when you do not have “perfect data sources”
Why even talk about probabilistic reasoning if you won’t use it until the data is “perfect” and you are omniscient?
Did you misread the comment? Clearly in the real world you will not have such perfect data sources, hence why I wrote “ And we are very far from even that.”
i.e. A practically zero chance in the ideal world turns into a hopeless endeavour, “Sisyphean Task” in the real world. And that’s also while assuming a level of intelligence way beyond you or anyone else.
I don’t think you understand probability theory
Well I think I do?, so just opining another LW user doesn’t understand “probability theory” is not going to lead anywhere productive.
The point of probabilities is to quantify uncertainty, not to wait until you are omnipotent and have all the data needed to reach certainty
I still think I understand just fine along with the several other folks expressing skepticism. To be frank your personal opinions can’t outweigh anyone else’s here so it really isn’t a productive line of discussion.
EDIT: Maybe try putting forward actual arguments, or addressing the numerous other comments with substantial points?